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Counter argument?I can hear some counter arguments to buy Coach now. The number one reason is that Coach is very cheap now, traded at a trailing P/E of less than 11. For a company generating ROE of near 50%, it is very cheap valuation. But it is not necessary the ROE for the new Coach. It is certainly not the case for Coach FY 2015 and FY 2016. For FY 2015, Coach projects a low double digit revenue drop and an operating margin decline to the high teens from almost 30%. Combining these numbers, I see Coach may experience net income decline of 50% in FY2015, which translates to a future P/E of 22. By no means is it a cheap valuation for a company subject to high turnaround risks.
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